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"data-driven analytics"
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Solar Photovoltaic Modules’ Performance Reliability and Degradation Analysis—A Review
by
Olayiwola, Olufemi I.
,
Alimi, Oyeniyi A.
,
Meyer, Edson L.
in
Aging
,
Alternative energy sources
,
characterization
2022
The current geometric increase in the global deployment of solar photovoltaic (PV) modules, both at utility-scale and residential roof-top systems, is majorly attributed to its affordability, scalability, long-term warranty and, most importantly, the continuous reduction in the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of solar PV in numerous countries. In addition, PV deployment is expected to continue this growth trend as energy portfolio globally shifts towards cleaner energy technologies. However, irrespective of the PV module type/material and component technology, the modules are exposed to a wide range of environmental conditions during outdoor deployment. Oftentimes, these environmental conditions are extreme for the modules and subject them to harsh chemical, photo-chemical and thermo-mechanical stress. Asides from manufacturing defects, these conditions contribute immensely to PV module’s aging rate, defects and degradation. Therefore, in recent times, there has been various investigations into PV reliability and degradation mechanisms. These studies do not only provide insight on how PV module’s performance degrades over time, but more importantly, they serve as meaningful input information for future developments in PV technologies, as well as performance prediction for better financial modelling. In view of this, prompt and efficient detection and classification of degradation modes and mechanisms due to manufacturing imperfections and field conditions are of great importance towards minimizing potential failure and associated risks. In the literature, several methods, ranging from visual inspection, electrical parameter measurements (EPM), imaging methods, and most recently data-driven techniques have been proposed and utilized to measure or characterize PV module degradation signatures and mechanisms/pathways. In this paper, we present a critical review of recent studies whereby solar PV systems performance reliability and degradation were analyzed. The aim is to make cogent contributions to the state-of-the-art, identify various critical issues and propose thoughtful ideas for future studies particularly in the area of data-driven analytics. In contrast with statistical and visual inspection approaches that tend to be time consuming and require huge human expertise, data-driven analytic methods including machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models have impressive computational capacities to process voluminous data, with vast features, with reduced computation time. Thus, they can be deployed for assessing module performance in laboratories, manufacturing, and field deployments. With the huge size of PV modules’ installations especially in utility scale systems, coupled with the voluminous datasets generated in terms of EPM and imaging data features, ML and DL can learn irregular patterns and make conclusions in the prediction, diagnosis and classification of PV degradation signatures, with reduced computation time. Analysis and comparison of different models proposed for solar PV degradation are critically reviewed, in terms of the methodologies, characterization techniques, datasets, feature extraction mechanisms, accelerated testing procedures and classification procedures. Finally, we briefly highlight research gaps and summarize some recommendations for the future studies.
Journal Article
Integrated risk measurement and control for stochastic energy trading of a wind storage system in electricity markets
by
Chen, Haoyong
,
Zhao, Zhendong
,
Wei, Chun
in
Analysis and Control
,
Data-driven Analytics in Power System Modeling
,
Decision making
2023
To facilitate wind energy use and avoid low returns, or even losses in extreme cases, this paper proposes an integrated risk measurement and control approach to jointly manage multiple statistical properties of the expected profit distribution for a wind storage system. First, a risk-averse stochastic decision-making framework and multi-type risk measurements, including the conditional value at Risk (CVaR), value at risk (VaR) and shortfall probability (SP), are described in detail. To satisfy the various needs of multi-type risk-averse decision makers, integrated risk measurement and control approaches are then proposed by jointly considering the expected, boundary and probability values of the extreme results. These are managed using CVaR, VaR and SP, respectively. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed risk control strategy is verified by conducting case studies with realistic market data, and the results of different risk control strategies are analyzed in depth. The impacts of the risk parameters of the decision maker, the energy capacity of the battery storage and the price difference between the day-ahead and real-time markets on the expected profits and risks are investigated in detail.
Journal Article
Data-Driven Dynamic Graph Convolution Transformer Network Model for EEG Emotion Recognition Under IoMT Environment
2025
With the rapid progress in data-driven approaches, artificial intelligence, and big data analytics technologies, utilizing electroencephalogram (EEG) signals for emotion analysis in the field of the Internet of Medical Things can effectively assist in the diagnosis of specific diseases. While existing emotion analysis methods focus on the utilization of effective deep models for data-driven and big data analytics technology, they often struggle to extract long-range dependencies and accurately model local relationships within multi-channel EEG signals. In addition, the subjective scores of the subjects may not match the predefined emotional labels. To overcome these limitations, this paper proposes a new data-driven dynamic graph-embedded Transformer network (DGETN) that has emerged in different tasks of graph data mining for emotion analysis of EEG signals in the scene of IoMT. Firstly, we extract the frequency features differential entropy (DE) and use the linear dynamic system (LDS) method to alleviate the redundancy and noise information. Secondly, to effectively explore the long-range information and local modeling ability, a novel feature extraction module is designed by embedding the dynamic graph convolution operations in the Transformer encoder for mining the discriminant features of data. Moreover, the graph convolution operations can effectively exploit the spatial information between different channels. At last, we introduce the minimum category confusion (MCC) loss to alleviate the fuzziness of classification. We take two commonly used EEG sentiment analysis datasets as a study. The DGETN has achieved state-of-the-art accuracies of 99.38% on the SEED dataset, and accuracies of 99.24 % and 98.85% for valence and arousal prediction on the DEAP dataset, respectively.
Journal Article
When You Work with a Superman, Will You Also Fly? An Empirical Study of the Impact of Coworkers on Performance
2019
We examine a large operational data set in a casual restaurant setting to study how coworkers’ sales ability level affects other workers’ sales performance. We find that waiters react nonlinearly to their coworkers’ ability. In particular, when coworkers’ overall sales ability is low, increasing this ability may prompt waiters to redouble both upselling and cross-selling efforts. When overall coworkers’ ability is high, however, further increasing their ability may trigger waiters to reduce sales efforts. Our empirical findings imply that, to maximize sales, managers should mix waiters with heterogeneous ability levels during the same shift. Through a counterfactual analysis, we find that considering the inverted U-shaped peer effects when optimizing current waiters’ schedules without changing their utilization may increase total sales by approximately 2.48% at no extra cost.
This paper was accepted by Vishal Gaur, operations management.
Journal Article
Data analytics during pandemics: a transportation and location planning perspective
2023
The recent COVID-19 pandemic once again showed the value of harnessing reliable and timely data in fighting the disease. Obtained from multiple sources via different collection streams, an immense amount of data is processed to understand and predict the future state of the disease. Apart from predicting the spatio–temporal dynamics, it is used to foresee the changes in human mobility patterns and travel behaviors and understand the mobility and spread speed relationship. During this period, data-driven analytic approaches and Operations Research tools are widely used by scholars to prescribe emerging transportation and location planning problems to guide policy-makers in making effective decisions. In this study, we provide a review of studies which tackle transportation and location problems during the COVID-19 pandemic with a focus on data analytics. We discuss the major data collecting streams utilized during the pandemic era, highlight the importance of rapid and reliable data sharing, and give an overview of the challenges and limitations on the use of data.
Journal Article
Data-Driven Analytics Leveraging Artificial Intelligence in the Era of COVID-19: An Insightful Review of Recent Developments
2022
This paper presents the role of artificial intelligence (AI) and other latest technologies that were employed to fight the recent pandemic (i.e., novel coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19)). These technologies assisted the early detection/diagnosis, trends analysis, intervention planning, healthcare burden forecasting, comorbidity analysis, and mitigation and control, to name a few. The key-enablers of these technologies was data that was obtained from heterogeneous sources (i.e., social networks (SN), internet of (medical) things (IoT/IoMT), cellular networks, transport usage, epidemiological investigations, and other digital/sensing platforms). To this end, we provide an insightful overview of the role of data-driven analytics leveraging AI in the era of COVID-19. Specifically, we discuss major services that AI can provide in the context of COVID-19 pandemic based on six grounds, (i) AI role in seven different epidemic containment strategies (a.k.a non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs)), (ii) AI role in data life cycle phases employed to control pandemic via digital solutions, (iii) AI role in performing analytics on heterogeneous types of data stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic, (iv) AI role in the healthcare sector in the context of COVID-19 pandemic, (v) general-purpose applications of AI in COVID-19 era, and (vi) AI role in drug design and repurposing (e.g., iteratively aligning protein spikes and applying three/four-fold symmetry to yield a low-resolution candidate template) against COVID-19. Further, we discuss the challenges involved in applying AI to the available data and privacy issues that can arise from personal data transitioning into cyberspace. We also provide a concise overview of other latest technologies that were increasingly applied to limit the spread of the ongoing pandemic. Finally, we discuss the avenues of future research in the respective area. This insightful review aims to highlight existing AI-based technological developments and future research dynamics in this area.
Journal Article
Uncertainty modeling of wind power frequency regulation potential considering distributed characteristics of forecast errors
by
Yan, Cheng
,
Wang, Chenggen
,
Dai, Jianfeng
in
Analysis and Control
,
Control stability
,
Data-driven Analytics in Power System Modeling
2021
Large-scale integration of wind power generation decreases the equivalent inertia of a power system, and thus makes frequency stability control challenging. However, given the irregular, nonlinear, and non-stationary characteristics of wind power, significant challenges arise in making wind power generation participate in system frequency regulation. Hence, it is important to explore wind power frequency regulation potential and its uncertainty. This paper proposes an innovative uncertainty modeling method based on mixed skew generalized error distribution for wind power frequency regulation potential. The mapping relationship between wind speed and the associated frequency regulation potential is established, and key parameters of the wind turbine model are identified to predict the wind power frequency regulation potential. Furthermore, the prediction error distribution of the frequency regulation potential is obtained from the mixed skew model. Because of the characteristics of error partition, the error distribution model and predicted values at different wind speed sections are summarized to generate the uncertainty interval of wind power frequency regulation potential. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms other state-of-the-art contrastive models in terms of the refined degree of fitting error distribution characteristics. The proposed model only requires the wind speed prediction sequence to accurately model the uncertainty interval. This should be of great significance for rationally optimizing system frequency regulation resources and reducing redundant backup.
Journal Article
Static information, K-neighbor, and self-attention aggregated scheme: a transient stability prediction model with enhanced interpretability
by
Guan, Lin
,
Chen, Liukai
in
Analysis and Control
,
Data-driven Analytics in Power System Modeling
,
Electrical Machines and Networks
2023
Data-driven preventive scanning for transient stability assessment (DTSA) is a faster and more efficient solution than time-domain simulation (TDS). However, most current methods cannot balance generalization to different topologies and interpretability, with simple output. A model that conforms to the physical mechanism and richer label for transient stability can increase confidence in DTSA. Thus a static-information, k-neighbor, and self-attention aggregated schema (SKETCH) is proposed in this paper. Taking only static measurements as input, SKETCH gives several explanations that are consistent with the physical mechanisms of TSA and provides results for all generator stability while predicting system stability. A module based on the self-attention mechanism is designed to solve the locality problem of a graph neural network (GNN), achieving subgraph equivalence outside the k-order neighborhood. Test results on the IEEE 39-bus system and IEEE 300-bus system indicate the superiority of SKETCH and also demonstrate the rich sample interpretation results.
Highlights
A fast TSA scheme for pre-failure scanning.
A physical mechanism-based attention structure for dynamic graph pooling.
A node regression model that responds to key physical mechanisms.
Generator label for richer output information.
Top performance and post-hoc interpretation.
Journal Article
Smart Transportation Behavior through the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Ride-Hailing System in Iran
by
Taghipour, Atour
,
Ramezani, Mohammad
,
Khazaei, Moein
in
Analysis
,
Automobile drivers
,
Behavior
2023
During the COVID-19 pandemic, significant changes occurred in customer behavior, especially in traffic and urban transmission systems. In this context, there is a need for more scientific research and managerial approaches to develop behavior-based smart transportation solutions to deal with recent changes in customers, drivers, and traffic behaviors, including the volume of traffic and traffic routes. This research has tried to find a comprehensive view of novel travel behavior in different routes using a new social network analysis method. Our research is rooted in graph theory/network analysis and application of centrality concepts in social network analysis, particularly in the ride-hailing transportation systems under monumental competition. In this study, a big city, with near to ten million habitants (Tehran), is considered. All city areas were studied and clustered based on the primary measures of centrality, including degree centrality, Katz centrality, special vector centrality, page rank centrality, proximity centrality, and intermediate centrality. Our data were the trips of this system in Tehran, where the nodes in this network represent Tehran’s districts, and the connection between the two districts indicates the trips made between those two districts. Also, each link’s weight is the number of trips between the two nodes (district). The districts of Tehran were ranked in the smart transportation network based on six criteria: degree centrality, degree centrality of input, degree centrality of output, special vector centrality, hub, and reference points. Finally, according to comprehensive data-driven analysis, the studied company was suggested to create shared value and sustainability through the platform to perform a legitimate system to meet the new challenges. Our proposed system can help managers and governments to develop a behavior-based smart transportation system for big cities.
Journal Article