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\"Banking and finance, pharmaceuticals, automotive, medical technology, retail. Artificial intelligence (AI) has made its way into many industries around the world. But the truth is, it has just begun its odyssey toward cheaper, better, and faster predictions to drive strategic business decisions-powering and accelerating business. When prediction is taken to the max, industries transform. The disruption that comes with such transformation is yet to be felt-but it is coming. How do businesses prepare? In their bestselling first book, Prediction Machines, eminent economists Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb explained the simple yet game-changing economics of AI. Now, in Power and Prediction, they go further to reveal AI as a prediction technology directly impacting decision-making and to teach businesses how to identify disruptive opportunities and threats resulting from AI. Their exhaustive study of new developments in artificial intelligence and the past history of how technologies have disrupted industries highlights the striking phase we are now in: after witnessing the power of this new technology and before its widespread adoption-what they call \"the Between Times.\" While there continue to be important opportunities for businesses, there are also threats of disruption. As prediction machines improve, old ways of doing things will be upended. Also, the process by which AI filters into the many systems involved in application is very uneven. That process will have winners and losers. How can businesses leverage, or protect, their positions? Filled with illuminating insights, rich examples, and practical advice, Power and Prediction is the must-read guide for any business leader or policy maker on how to make the coming AI disruptions work for you rather than against you\"-- Provided by publisher.

The accurate prediction of photovoltaic (PV) power is crucial for planning, constructing, and scheduling high‐penetration distributed PV power systems. Traditional point prediction methods suffer from instability and lack reliability, which can be effectively addressed through interval prediction. This study proposes a short‐term PV power interval prediction method based on the framework of sparrow search algorithm (SSA)‐variational mode decomposition (VMD)‐convolutional neural network (CNN)‐gate recurrent unit (GRU). First, PV data undergo similar day clustering based on permutation entropy and VMD is applied to solar radiation signals with high correlation. Then, the hyperparameters of GRU are optimized by SSA according to the comprehensive evaluation indicator of interval prediction proposed in this study. Subsequently, quantile prediction results are obtained based on CNN‐GRU using the optimal parameters from SSA optimization. Finally, the prediction interval is composed of multiple quantile prediction results. A MATLAB R2022b program is developed to compare different prediction methods. The results demonstrate that compared to single neural network methods, the proposed method effectively improves the coverage width‐based criterion. In the interval prediction of sunny and rainy similar days, the comprehensive evaluation indicators of the proposed method are only 54.3% and 37.4% of the single GRU, respectively, indicating significantly improved interval prediction accuracy. Gate recurrent unit (GRU) network structure.

The theory of plate tectonics transformed earth science. The hypothesis that the earth's outermost layers consist of mostly rigid plates that move over an inner surface helped describe the growth of new seafloor, confirm continental drift, and explain why earthquakes and volcanoes occur in some places and not others. Lynn R. Sykes played a key role in the birth of plate tectonics, conducting revelatory research on earthquakes. In this book, he gives an invaluable insider's perspective on the theory's development and its implications. Sykes combines lucid explanation of how plate tectonics revolutionized geology with unparalleled personal reflections. He entered the field when it was on the cusp of radical discoveries. Studying the distribution and mechanisms of earthquakes, Sykes pioneered the identification of seismic gaps--regions that have not ruptured in great earthquakes for a long time--and methods to estimate the possibility of quake recurrence. He recounts the various phases of his career, including his antinuclear activism, and the stories of colleagues around the world who took part in changing the paradigm. Sykes delves into the controversies over earthquake prediction and their importance, especially in the wake of the giant 2011 Japanese earthquake and the accompanying Fukushima disaster. He highlights geology's lessons for nuclear safety, explaining why historic earthquake patterns are crucial to understanding the risks to power plants. Plate Tectonics and Great Earthquakes is the story of a scientist witnessing a revolution and playing an essential role in making it.

Photovoltaic (PV) clusters in deserts such as the Gobi and other regions are frequently affected by sand and dust, which causes great deviation in power prediction and seriously threatens the safe operation of new power systems. For this reason, this paper proposes a short-term cluster PV power prediction method based on statistical upscaling, considering the effect of sand and dust. Firstly, the sand and dust events are identified, and then time series generative adversarial networks (TimeGANs) are used to solve the problem of small sample scarcity in sand and dust and construct a power correction model for sand and dust scenes. Secondly, for different weather scenes, a combination of conventional prediction and correction prediction is used to solve the problem of large differences in the predictability of a single model. Finally, a statistical upscaling method is utilized to calculate the cluster prediction power to solve the prediction difficulties of large-scale newly installed PV field stations. Through a case study and comparison with other models and methods, the cluster prediction method established in this paper effectively improves the prediction accuracy of the power of large-scale PV clusters affected by sand and dust, with the RMSE reduced by 8.28%.

Wind farms are enormous and complex control systems. It is challenging and valuable to control and optimize wind farms. Their applications are widely used in various industries. Artificial intelligent algorithms are effective methods for optimization problems due to their distinctive characteristics. They have been successfully applied to wind farms. In this paper, several issues in wind farms are presented. Applications of artificial intelligent algorithms in wind farm controllers, Mach number, wind speed prediction, wind power prediction and other problems of wind farms are reviewed. Two future research directions are pointed out to develop artificial intelligent algorithms for wind farm control systems and wind speed and power prediction.

The intermittent and stochastic nature of Renewable Energy Sources (RESs) necessitates accurate power production prediction for effective scheduling and grid management. This paper presents a comprehensive review conducted with reference to a pioneering, comprehensive, and data-driven framework proposed for solar Photovoltaic (PV) power generation prediction. The systematic and integrating framework comprises three main phases carried out by seven main comprehensive modules for addressing numerous practical difficulties of the prediction task: phase I handles the aspects related to data acquisition (module 1) and manipulation (module 2) in preparation for the development of the prediction scheme; phase II tackles the aspects associated with the development of the prediction model (module 3) and the assessment of its accuracy (module 4), including the quantification of the uncertainty (module 5); and phase III evolves towards enhancing the prediction accuracy by incorporating aspects of context change detection (module 6) and incremental learning when new data become available (module 7). This framework adeptly addresses all facets of solar PV power production prediction, bridging existing gaps and offering a comprehensive solution to inherent challenges. By seamlessly integrating these elements, our approach stands as a robust and versatile tool for enhancing the precision of solar PV power prediction in real-world applications.

With the increasing data availability in wind power production processes due to advanced sensing technologies, data-driven models have become prevalent in studying wind power prediction (WPP) methods. Deep learning models have gained popularity in recent years due to their ability of handling high-dimensional input, automating data feature engineering, and providing high flexibility in modeling. However, with a large volume of deep learning based WPP studies developed in recent literature, it is important to survey the existing developments and their contributions in solving the issue of wind power uncertainty. This paper revisits deep learning-based wind power prediction studies from two perspectives, deep learning-enabled WPP formulations and developed deep learning methods. The advancement of WPP formulations is summarized from the following perspectives, the considered input and output designs as well as the performance evaluation metrics. The technical aspect review of deep learning leveraged in WPPs focuses on its advancement in feature processing and prediction model development. To derive a more insightful conclusion on the so-far development, over 140 recent deep learning-based WPP studies have been covered. Meanwhile, we have also conducted a comparative study on a set of deep models widely used in WPP studies and recently developed in the machine learning community. Results show that DLinear obtains more than 2% improvements by benchmarking a set of strong deep learning models. Potential research directions for WPPs, which can bring profound impacts, are also highlighted.

JET experiments using the fuel mixture envisaged for fusion power plants, deuterium and tritium (D–T), provide a unique opportunity to validate existing D–T fusion power prediction capabilities in support of future device design and operation preparation. The 2021 JET D–T experimental campaign has achieved D–T fusion powers sustained over 5 s in ITER-relevant conditions i.e. operation with the baseline or hybrid scenario in the full metallic wall. In preparation of the 2021 JET D–T experimental campaign, extensive D–T predictive modelling was carried out with several assumptions based on D discharges. To improve the validity of ITER D–T predictive modelling in the future, it is important to use the input data measured from 2021 JET D–T discharges in the present core predictive modelling, and to specify the accuracy of the D–T fusion power prediction in comparison with the experiments. This paper reports on the validation of the core integrated modelling with TRANSP, JINTRAC, and ETS coupled with a quasilinear turbulent transport model (Trapped Gyro Landau Fluid or QualLiKiz) against the measured data in 2021 JET D–T discharges. Detailed simulation settings and the heating and transport models used are described. The D–T fusion power calculated with the interpretive TRANSP runs for 38 D–T discharges (12 baseline and 26 hybrid discharges) reproduced the measured values within 20 % . This indicates the additional uncertainties, that could result from the measurement error bars in kinetic profiles, impurity contents and neutron rates, and also from the beam-thermal fusion reaction modelling, are less than 20 % in total. The good statistical agreement confirms that we have the capability to accurately calculate the D–T fusion power if correct kinetic profiles are predicted, and indicates that any larger deviation of the D–T fusion power prediction from the measured fusion power could be attributed to the deviation of the predicted kinetic profiles from the measured kinetic profiles in these plasma scenarios. Without any posterior adjustment of the simulation settings, the ratio of predicted D–T fusion power to the measured fusion power was found as 65%–96% for the D–T baseline and 81%–97% for D–T hybrid discharge. Possible reasons for the lower D–T prediction are discussed and future works to improve the fusion power prediction capability are suggested. The D–T predictive modelling results have also been compared to the predictive modelling of the counterpart D discharges, where the key engineering parameters are similar. Features in the predicted kinetic profiles of D–T discharges such as underprediction of n e are also found in the prediction results of the counterpart D discharges, and it leads to similar levels of the normalized neutron rate prediction between the modelling results of D–T and the counterpart D discharges. This implies that the credibility of D–T fusion power prediction could be a priori estimated by the prediction quality of the preparatory D discharges, which will be attempted before actual D–T experiments.

Wind power prediction is essential for ensuring the stability and efficient operation of modern power systems, particularly as renewable energy integration continues to expand. This paper presents a comprehensive review of machine learning techniques applied to wind power prediction, emphasizing their advantages over traditional physical and statistical models. Machine learning methods, especially deep learning approaches such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs), and ensemble learning techniques like XGBoost, excel in addressing the nonlinearity and complexity of wind power data. The review also explores critical aspects such as data preprocessing, feature selection strategies, and model optimization techniques, which significantly enhance prediction accuracy and robustness. Challenges such as data acquisition difficulties, complex terrain influences, and sensor quality issues are examined in depth, with proposed solutions discussed. Additionally, the paper highlights future research directions, including the potential of multi-model fusion, emerging deep learning technologies like Transformers, and the integration of smart sensors and IoT technologies to develop intelligent, automated, and reliable prediction systems. By addressing existing challenges and leveraging advanced machine learning techniques, this work provides valuable insights into the current state of wind power prediction research and offers strategic guidance for enhancing the applicability and reliability of prediction models in practical scenarios.

This study investigated the application of advanced Machine Learning techniques to predict power generation and detect abnormalities in solar Photovoltaic systems. The study conducted a comprehensive assessment of various sophisticated models, including Random Trees, Random Forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Linear Regression, Gradient Boosting (GB), and Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), utilizing a substantial dataset of 97,333 sets. The analysis focused on two fundamental objectives: power prediction and fault identification, both of which are crucial for enhancing the effectiveness and dependability of PV systems. CatBoost and GB models exhibited exceptional performance in power prediction, with the maximum R-squared value of 0.994. Demonstrating a strong correlation with the data and the ability to account for a substantial amount of the variation in power generation. These models outperformed others by providing more accurate and reliable projections, which are crucial for effective solar energy management and planning. CatBoost demonstrated superior performance compared to other approaches in the flaw detection test, attaining the highest performance metrics. The model achieved an accuracy of 0.999743, precision of 0.997171, recall of 0.999291, and an F1 score of 0.998230. The measures illustrated CatBoost’s exceptional ability to precisely identify problems with little errors, confirming it as the most successful model among those evaluated. The exceptional precision and dependability of the CatBoost model in identifying faults highlighted its capacity for continuously monitoring and maintaining solar systems in real-time, consequently augmenting operational efficiency. The study emphasized the significance of choosing suitable models to achieve the highest level of accuracy in predicting and detecting faults, thereby enabling the development of more sustainable and efficient solar energy systems. Subsequent research should prioritize the validation of these models using varied datasets, integration of up-to-date meteorological data, and creation of defect detection methods in real-time to enhance system efficiency.