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990 result(s) for "temporal convolutional network"
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Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Signal Decomposition and Improved TCN Algorithm
In the realm of power systems, short-term electric load forecasting is pivotal for ensuring supply–demand balance, optimizing generation planning, reducing operational costs, and maintaining grid stability. Short-term load curves are characteristically coarse, revealing high-frequency data upon decomposition that exhibit pronounced non-linearity and significant noise, complicating efforts to enhance forecasting precision. To address these challenges, this study introduces an innovative model. This model employs complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) to bifurcate the original load data into low- and high-frequency components. For the smoother low-frequency data, a temporal convolutional network (TCN) is utilized, whereas the high-frequency components, which encapsulate detailed load history information yet suffer from a lower fitting accuracy, are processed using an enhanced soft thresholding TCN (SF-TCN) optimized with the slime mould algorithm (SMA). Experimental tests of this methodology on load forecasts for the forthcoming 24 h across all seasons have demonstrated its superior forecasting accuracy compared to that of non-decomposed models, such as support vector regression (SVR), recurrent neural network (RNN), gated recurrent unit (GRU), long short-term memory (LSTM), convolutional neural network-LSTM (CNN-LSTM), TCN, Informer, and decomposed models, including CEEMDAN-TCN and CEEMDAN-TCN-SMA.
LARRES: A New Deep Learning Based Global Ionosphere Map Prediction Model With Large Receptive Field
Ionospheric delay poses significant challenges for satellite‐based communication and navigation applications. Predicting the global ionosphere variation can help to capture the vertical total electron content (VTEC) in advance, which improves the signal stability of communication and navigation, and supports these space‐related technologies. In existing studies, the ConvLSTM‐based method has achieved impressive results in global ionosphere map (GIM) prediction and gained increasing attention. However, the ConvLSTM model can only consider local features in GIM prediction since the single layer Convolutional Neural Network structure in ConvLSTM can not capture the global features. Inspired by the ResNet and the SimVP models, this paper proposes a new TEC prediction method based on a large receptive field model named large receptive field model with residual structure (LARRES). This method achieves a large receptive field effect through a deep global spatio‐temporal convolutional network, which allows to capture the global TEC features during the prediction process. The prediction performance of the LARRES model was evaluated with 8 years GIM data in both high and low solar activity years. The experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms the C1PG model from Center for Orbit Determination in Europe and two ConvLSTM‐based models. Compared to the C1PG model, the LARRES method can reduce RMS error by 28.7% and 10.4% during high and low solar activity years, respectively. The LARRES method can further reduce the global TEC prediction error by 0.35 TECU and 0.08 TECU subject to the ConvLSTM‐based models during high and low solar activity years respectively.
A Temporal Convolutional Neural Network Fusion Attention Mechanism Runoff Prediction Model Based on Dynamic Decomposition Reconstruction Integration Processing
Accurate and reliable runoff forecasting is of great significance for hydropower station operation and watershed water resource allocation. However, various complex factors, such as climate conditions and human activities, constantly affect the formation of runoff. Runoff data under changing environments exhibit highly nonlinear, time-varying, and stochastic characteristics, which undoubtedly pose great challenges to runoff prediction. Under this background, this study ingeniously merges reconstruction integration technology and dynamic decomposition technology to propose a Temporal Convolutional Network Fusion Attention Mechanism Runoff Prediction method based on dynamic decomposition reconstruction integration processing. This method uses the Temporal Convolutional Network to extract the cross-temporal nonlinear characteristics of longer runoff data, and introduces attention mechanisms to capture the importance distribution and duration relationship of historical temporal features in runoff prediction. It integrates a decomposition reconstruction process based on dynamic classification and filtering, fully utilizing decomposition techniques, reconstruction techniques, complexity analysis, dynamic decomposition techniques, and neural networks optimized by automatic hyperparameter optimization algorithms, effectively improving the model’s interpretability and precision of prediction accuracy. This study used historical monthly runoff datasets from the Pingshan Hydrological Station and Yichang Hydrological Station for validation, and selected eight models including the LSTM model, CEEMDAN-TCN-Attention model, and CEEMDAN-VMD-LSTM-Attention (DDRI) for comparative prediction experiments. The MAE, RMSE, MAPE, and NSE indicators of the proposed model showed the best performances, with test set values of 1007.93, 985.87, 16.47, and 0.922 for the Pingshan Hydrological Station and 1086.81, 1211.18, 17.20, and 0.919 for the Yichang Hydrological Station, respectively. The experimental results indicate that the fusion model generated through training has strong learning ability for runoff temporal features and the proposed model has obvious advantages in overall predictive performance, stability, correlation, comprehensive accuracy, and statistical testing.
3D skeleton-based human motion prediction using spatial–temporal graph convolutional network
3D human motion prediction; predicting future human poses in the basis of historically observed motion sequences, is a core task in computer vision. Thus far, it has been successfully applied to both autonomous driving and human–robot interaction. Previous research work has usually employed Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs)-based models to predict future human poses. However, as previous works have amply demonstrated, RNN-based prediction models suffer from unrealistic and discontinuous problems in human motion prediction due to the accumulation of prediction errors. To address this, we propose a feed-forward, 3D skeleton-based model for human motion prediction. This model, the Spatial–Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (ST-GCN) model, automatically learns the spatial and temporal patterns of human motion from input sequences. This model overcomes the limitations of previous research approaches. Specifically, our ST-GCN model is based on an encoder-decoder architecture. The encoder consists of 5 ST-GCN modules, with each ST-GCN module consisting of a spatial GCN layer and a 2D convolution-based TCN layer, which facilitate the encoding of the spatio-temporal dynamics of human motion. Subsequently, the decoder, consisting of 5 TCN layers, exploits the encoded spatio-temporal representation of human motion to predict future human pose. We leveraged the ST-GCN model to perform extensive experiments on various large-scale human activity 3D pose datasets (Human3.6 M, AMASS, 3DPW) while adopting MPJPE (Mean Per Joint Position Error) as the evaluation metric. The experimental results demonstrate that our ST-GCN model outperforms the baseline models in both short-term (< 400 ms) and long-term (> 400 ms) predictions, thus yielding the best prediction results.
Deep Learning Based Prediction on Greenhouse Crop Yield Combined TCN and RNN
Currently, greenhouses are widely applied for plant growth, and environmental parameters can also be controlled in the modern greenhouse to guarantee the maximum crop yield. In order to optimally control greenhouses’ environmental parameters, one indispensable requirement is to accurately predict crop yields based on given environmental parameter settings. In addition, crop yield forecasting in greenhouses plays an important role in greenhouse farming planning and management, which allows cultivators and farmers to utilize the yield prediction results to make knowledgeable management and financial decisions. It is thus important to accurately predict the crop yield in a greenhouse considering the benefits that can be brought by accurate greenhouse crop yield prediction. In this work, we have developed a new greenhouse crop yield prediction technique, by combining two state-of-the-arts networks for temporal sequence processing—temporal convolutional network (TCN) and recurrent neural network (RNN). Comprehensive evaluations of the proposed algorithm have been made on multiple datasets obtained from multiple real greenhouse sites for tomato growing. Based on a statistical analysis of the root mean square errors (RMSEs) between the predicted and actual crop yields, it is shown that the proposed approach achieves more accurate yield prediction performance than both traditional machine learning methods and other classical deep neural networks. Moreover, the experimental study also shows that the historical yield information is the most important factor for accurately predicting future crop yields.
Leveraging Hybrid Deep Learning Models for Enhanced Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Time series forecasting is crucial in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to weather prediction and supply chain management. Traditional statistical methods and machine learning models have been widely used for this task. However, they often face limitations in capturing complex temporal dependencies and handling multivariate time series data. In recent years, deep learning models have emerged as a promising solution for overcoming these limitations. This paper investigates how deep learning, specifically hybrid models, can enhance time series forecasting and address the shortcomings of traditional approaches. This dual capability handles intricate variable interdependencies and non-stationarities in multivariate forecasting. Our results show that the hybrid models achieved lower error rates and higher R 2 values, signifying their superior predictive performance and generalization capabilities. These architectures effectively extract spatial features and temporal dynamics in multivariate time series by combining convolutional and recurrent modules. This study evaluates deep learning models, specifically hybrid architectures, for multivariate time series forecasting. On two real-world datasets - Traffic Volume and Air Quality - the TCN-BiLSTM model achieved the best overall performance. For Traffic Volume, the TCN-BiLSTM model achieved an R 2 score of 0.976, and for Air Quality, it reached an R 2 score of 0.94. These results highlight the model’s effectiveness in leveraging the strengths of Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCNs) for capturing multi-scale temporal patterns and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTMs) for retaining contextual information, thereby enhancing the accuracy of time series forecasting.
Multivariate Temporal Convolutional Network: A Deep Neural Networks Approach for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Multivariable time series prediction has been widely studied in power energy, aerology, meteorology, finance, transportation, etc. Traditional modeling methods have complex patterns and are inefficient to capture long-term multivariate dependencies of data for desired forecasting accuracy. To address such concerns, various deep learning models based on Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) methods are proposed. To improve the prediction accuracy and minimize the multivariate time series data dependence for aperiodic data, in this article, Beijing PM2.5 and ISO-NE Dataset are analyzed by a novel Multivariate Temporal Convolution Network (M-TCN) model. In this model, multi-variable time series prediction is constructed as a sequence-to-sequence scenario for non-periodic datasets. The multichannel residual blocks in parallel with asymmetric structure based on deep convolution neural network is proposed. The results are compared with rich competitive algorithms of long short term memory (LSTM), convolutional LSTM (ConvLSTM), Temporal Convolution Network (TCN) and Multivariate Attention LSTM-FCN (MALSTM-FCN), which indicate significant improvement of prediction accuracy, robust and generalization of our model.
Temporal Convolutional Networks Applied to Energy-Related Time Series Forecasting
Modern energy systems collect high volumes of data that can provide valuable information about energy consumption. Electric companies can now use historical data to make informed decisions on energy production by forecasting the expected demand. Many deep learning models have been proposed to deal with these types of time series forecasting problems. Deep neural networks, such as recurrent or convolutional, can automatically capture complex patterns in time series data and provide accurate predictions. In particular, Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN) are a specialised architecture that has advantages over recurrent networks for forecasting tasks. TCNs are able to extract long-term patterns using dilated causal convolutions and residual blocks, and can also be more efficient in terms of computation time. In this work, we propose a TCN-based deep learning model to improve the predictive performance in energy demand forecasting. Two energy-related time series with data from Spain have been studied: the national electric demand and the power demand at charging stations for electric vehicles. An extensive experimental study has been conducted, involving more than 1900 models with different architectures and parametrisations. The TCN proposal outperforms the forecasting accuracy of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) recurrent networks, which are considered the state-of-the-art in the field.
Deep learning-driven hybrid model for short-term load forecasting and smart grid information management
Accurate power load forecasting is crucial for the sustainable operation of smart grids. However, the complexity and uncertainty of load, along with the large-scale and high-dimensional energy information, present challenges in handling intricate dynamic features and long-term dependencies. This paper proposes a computational approach to address these challenges in short-term power load forecasting and energy information management, with the goal of accurately predicting future load demand. The study introduces a hybrid method that combines multiple deep learning models, the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) is employed to capture long-term dependencies in time series data, while the Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) efficiently learns patterns and features in load data. Additionally, the attention mechanism is incorporated to automatically focus on the input components most relevant to the load prediction task, further enhancing model performance. According to the experimental evaluation conducted on four public datasets, including GEFCom2014, the proposed algorithm outperforms the baseline models on various metrics such as prediction accuracy, efficiency, and stability. Notably, on the GEFCom2014 dataset, FLOP is reduced by over 48.8%, inference time is shortened by more than 46.7%, and MAPE is improved by 39%. The proposed method significantly enhances the reliability, stability, and cost-effectiveness of smart grids, which facilitates risk assessment optimization and operational planning under the context of information management for smart grid systems.
Short-Term Load Forecasting Model of Electric Vehicle Charging Load Based on MCCNN-TCN
The large fluctuations in charging loads of electric vehicles (EVs) make short-term forecasting challenging. In order to improve the short-term load forecasting performance of EV charging load, a corresponding model-based multi-channel convolutional neural network and temporal convolutional network (MCCNN-TCN) are proposed. The multi-channel convolutional neural network (MCCNN) can extract the fluctuation characteristics of EV charging load at various time scales, while the temporal convolutional network (TCN) can build a time-series dependence between the fluctuation characteristics and the forecasted load. In addition, an additional BP network maps the selected meteorological and date features into a high-dimensional feature vector, which is spliced with the output of the TCN. According to experimental results employing urban charging station load data from a city in northern China, the proposed model is more accurate than artificial neural network (ANN), long short-term memory (LSTM), convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM), and TCN models. The MCCNN-TCN model outperforms the ANN, LSTM, CNN-LSTM, and TCN by 14.09%, 25.13%, 27.32%, and 4.48%, respectively, in terms of the mean absolute percentage error.