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Spillovers from the Rest of the World into Sub-Saharan African Countries
by
Gustavo Ramirez
, Paulo Flavio Nacif Drummond
in
Africa, Sub-Saharan
/ Bank loans
/ Capital stock
/ Commodity Prices
/ Econometric models
/ Economic Growth
/ Economic Models
/ External Shocks
/ Financial Linkages
/ Growth Spillovers
/ Oil Prices
/ Panel Estimate
/ Prices
/ Stocks
/ Terms Of Trade
2009
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Spillovers from the Rest of the World into Sub-Saharan African Countries
by
Gustavo Ramirez
, Paulo Flavio Nacif Drummond
in
Africa, Sub-Saharan
/ Bank loans
/ Capital stock
/ Commodity Prices
/ Econometric models
/ Economic Growth
/ Economic Models
/ External Shocks
/ Financial Linkages
/ Growth Spillovers
/ Oil Prices
/ Panel Estimate
/ Prices
/ Stocks
/ Terms Of Trade
2009
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While trying to remove the title from your shelf something went wrong :( Kindly try again later!
Do you wish to request the book?
Spillovers from the Rest of the World into Sub-Saharan African Countries
by
Gustavo Ramirez
, Paulo Flavio Nacif Drummond
in
Africa, Sub-Saharan
/ Bank loans
/ Capital stock
/ Commodity Prices
/ Econometric models
/ Economic Growth
/ Economic Models
/ External Shocks
/ Financial Linkages
/ Growth Spillovers
/ Oil Prices
/ Panel Estimate
/ Prices
/ Stocks
/ Terms Of Trade
2009
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Spillovers from the Rest of the World into Sub-Saharan African Countries
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Spillovers from the Rest of the World into Sub-Saharan African Countries
2009
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Overview
This paper investigates the impact of a global slowdown on individual African countries using a series of dynamic panel regressions for countries in the region, relating real growth in domestic output to world growth in trade weighted by partner countries and several control variables: oil prices, non-oil prices, financial variables, and country fixed effects. Estimates are then applied to prepare country-specific simulations. The model, which is shown to estimate well out-of-sample spillover effects in the region, shows that countries in the region are significantly affected by lower external demand for their exports, declines in commodity prices and the terms of trade, and tighter financial conditions abroad. The last, proxied by the spread of three-month Libor to US treasury bills, is to our knowledge one of the first applications of such a measure of financial conditions for countries in the region.
Publisher
International Monetary Fund
Subject
ISBN
9781452743004, 1451917309, 1451873026, 1452743002, 9781451873023, 9781451917307
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