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Party Systems and Electoral Volatility in Latin America: A Test of Economic, Institutional, and Structural Explanations

by Roberts, Kenneth M. , Wibbels, Erik

in Class Organization / Congressional elections / Democracy / Democratic regimes / Economic models / Economic reform / ECONOMIC VOTING / Economics / ELECTION / Election monitoring / Election results / Elections / Electoral Systems / Electoral volatility / Governance / Incumbents / Inflation rates / Institutional Characteristics / Latin America / Parliamentary elections / Party systems / Political aspects / Political cleavages / Political corruption / Political Parties / Political partisanship / Political representation / Political science / POLITICAL SYSTEM AS A WHOLE / Pregnancy / Presidential elections / Presidents / Primaries & caucuses / REGIMES / Regression (Statistics) / Regression analysis / SOCIAL STRATA, CLASS DIVISION / Sociopolitical factors / Time series / Volatility / Voting

1999

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Party Systems and Electoral Volatility in Latin America: A Test of Economic, Institutional, and Structural Explanations

by Roberts, Kenneth M. , Wibbels, Erik

1999

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Party Systems and Electoral Volatility in Latin America: A Test of Economic, Institutional, and Structural Explanations

by Roberts, Kenneth M. , Wibbels, Erik

1999

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Journal Article

Party Systems and Electoral Volatility in Latin America: A Test of Economic, Institutional, and Structural Explanations

Roberts, Kenneth M.,

Wibbels, Erik

1999

Overview

Three different theoretical explanations are tested for the exceptionally high level of electoral volatility found in contemporary Latin America: economic voting, institutional characteristics of political regimes and party systems, and the structure and organization of class cleavages. A pooled cross-sectional time-series regression analysis is conducted on 58 congressional elections and 43 presidential elections in 16 Latin American countries during the 1980s and 1990s. Institutional variables have the most consistent effect on volatility, while the influence of economic performance is heavily contingent upon the type of election and whether the dependent variable is operationalized as incumbent vote change or aggregate electoral volatility. The results demonstrate that electoral volatility is a function of short-term economic perturbations, the institutional fragilities of both democratic regimes and party systems, and relatively fluid cleavage structures.

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Publisher

Cambridge University Press,American Political Science Association

Subject

Class Organization

/ Congressional elections