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Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios
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Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios
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Journal Article
Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios
2022
Overview
Sea surface temperature (SST) variability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) underpins its global impact, and its future change is a long-standing science issue. In its sixth assessment, the IPCC reports no systematic change in ENSO SST variability under any emission scenarios considered. However, comparison between the 20th and 21st century shows a robust increase in century-long ENSO SST variability under four IPCC plausible emission scenarios.Sea surface temperature variability of the equatorial Pacific Ocean dictates the strength of El Niño–Southern Oscillation events. CMIP6 models under four IPCC emission scenarios show increased variability in the 21st century from the 20th century.
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group
