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The Predictive Validity of the HERO Scorecard in Determining Future Health Care Cost and Risk Trends
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The Predictive Validity of the HERO Scorecard in Determining Future Health Care Cost and Risk Trends
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Journal Article
The Predictive Validity of the HERO Scorecard in Determining Future Health Care Cost and Risk Trends
2014
Overview
OBJECTIVE:To determine the ability of the Health Enhancement Research Organization (HERO) Scorecard to predict changes in health care expenditures.
METHODS:Individual employee health care insurance claims data for 33 organizations completing the HERO Scorecard from 2009 to 2011 were linked to employer responses to the Scorecard. Organizations were dichotomized into “high” versus “low” scoring groups and health care cost trends were compared. A secondary analysis examined the toolʼs ability to predict health risk trends.
RESULTS:“High” scorers experienced significant reductions in inflation-adjusted health care costs (averaging an annual trend of −1.6% over 3 years) compared with “low” scorers whose cost trend remained stable. The risk analysis was inconclusive because of the small number of employers scoring “low.”
CONCLUSIONS:The HERO Scorecard predicts health care cost trends among employers. More research is needed to determine how well it predicts health risk trends for employees.
Publisher
Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, a business of Wolters Kluwer Health,Copyright by the American College of Occupational and Environmental Medicine,Lippincott Williams & Wilkins,Lippincott Williams & Wilkins Ovid Technologies
Subject
/ Adult
/ Biological and medical sciences
/ Female
/ Health Benefit Plans, Employee - economics
/ Health Care Costs - statistics & numerical data
/ Health Expenditures - statistics & numerical data
/ Health Expenditures - trends
/ Health Promotion - economics
/ Humans
/ Male
/ Occupational Health - economics
/ Occupational Health Services - economics
/ Public health. Hygiene-occupational medicine
/ Validity
