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Estimating a War of Attrition: The Case of the US Movie Theater Industry
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Estimating a War of Attrition: The Case of the US Movie Theater Industry
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Journal Article
Estimating a War of Attrition: The Case of the US Movie Theater Industry
2015
Overview
This paper empirically studies firm's strategic exit decisions in an environment where demand is declining. Specifically, I quantify the extent to which the exit process generated by firms' strategic interactions deviates from the outcome that maximizes industry profits. I develop and estimate a dynamic exit game using data from the US movie theater industry in the 1950s, when the industry faced demand declines. Using the estimated model, I quantify the magnitude of strategic delays and find that strategic interactions cause an average delay of exit of 2.7 years. I calculate the relative importance of several components of these strategic delays.
