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Community flood vulnerability and risk assessment: An empirical predictive modeling approach
by
Wang, Yi (Victor)
, Sebastian, Antonia
in
Built environment
/ disaster risk reduction
/ Distribution
/ Economic models
/ Economics
/ Emergency management
/ Emergency preparedness
/ Empirical models
/ Flood control
/ Flood hazards
/ Flood insurance
/ Flood management
/ Flood predictions
/ Floods
/ Hurricanes
/ Insurance
/ Methods
/ Mitigation
/ Modelling
/ National Flood Hazard Layer
/ National Flood Insurance Program
/ North Carolina
/ Prediction models
/ Probability distribution
/ Probability theory
/ risk
/ Risk assessment
/ risk management
/ social vulnerability
/ uncertainty
/ United States
/ Urban environments
/ Vulnerability
/ Water depth
/ zero‐inflated modeling
2021
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Community flood vulnerability and risk assessment: An empirical predictive modeling approach
by
Wang, Yi (Victor)
, Sebastian, Antonia
in
Built environment
/ disaster risk reduction
/ Distribution
/ Economic models
/ Economics
/ Emergency management
/ Emergency preparedness
/ Empirical models
/ Flood control
/ Flood hazards
/ Flood insurance
/ Flood management
/ Flood predictions
/ Floods
/ Hurricanes
/ Insurance
/ Methods
/ Mitigation
/ Modelling
/ National Flood Hazard Layer
/ National Flood Insurance Program
/ North Carolina
/ Prediction models
/ Probability distribution
/ Probability theory
/ risk
/ Risk assessment
/ risk management
/ social vulnerability
/ uncertainty
/ United States
/ Urban environments
/ Vulnerability
/ Water depth
/ zero‐inflated modeling
2021
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Do you wish to request the book?
Community flood vulnerability and risk assessment: An empirical predictive modeling approach
by
Wang, Yi (Victor)
, Sebastian, Antonia
in
Built environment
/ disaster risk reduction
/ Distribution
/ Economic models
/ Economics
/ Emergency management
/ Emergency preparedness
/ Empirical models
/ Flood control
/ Flood hazards
/ Flood insurance
/ Flood management
/ Flood predictions
/ Floods
/ Hurricanes
/ Insurance
/ Methods
/ Mitigation
/ Modelling
/ National Flood Hazard Layer
/ National Flood Insurance Program
/ North Carolina
/ Prediction models
/ Probability distribution
/ Probability theory
/ risk
/ Risk assessment
/ risk management
/ social vulnerability
/ uncertainty
/ United States
/ Urban environments
/ Vulnerability
/ Water depth
/ zero‐inflated modeling
2021
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Community flood vulnerability and risk assessment: An empirical predictive modeling approach
Journal Article
Community flood vulnerability and risk assessment: An empirical predictive modeling approach
2021
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Overview
Effective assessment of flood vulnerability and risk is essential for communities to manage flood hazards. This paper presents an empirical modeling methodology to predict flood vulnerability and risk, considering factors of hazard distribution, property exposure, built environment, and socio‐demographic and economic characteristics of a community. Vulnerability is empirically modeled as the expected fraction of property loss that is uninsured within a community (i.e., census tract) given water depth. Risk is derived as the expected annual uninsured property loss and loss ratio. The proposed framework is applied to the state of North Carolina in the United States. For model calibration, modeled flood loss data from Hurricanes Matthew in 2016 and Florence in 2018 and insurance claims data from the Federal Insurance and Mitigation Administration's National Flood Insurance Program are used. The Federal Emergency Management Agency's National Flood Hazard Layer is adopted, along with empirical probability distribution of water depth given flood event, to characterize hazard distribution. Results demonstrate how the presented methodology can be used to predict annual loss in terms of currency and to highlight hotspots of flood vulnerability and risk. Future work is needed to reduce uncertainty associated with limited hazard information available to the public.
Publisher
Blackwell Publishing Ltd,John Wiley & Sons, Inc,Wiley
Subject
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