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Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections

by Jombart, Thibaut , Graaff, Peter , Brennan, Rick , Kertesz, Daniel , Mulba, John Mike , Van Kerkhove, Maria D , Sakoba, Keita , Nuttall, Isabelle , Briand, Sylvie , Markoff, Jered , Fukuda, Keiji , Heleze, Emmanuel , Nasidi, Abdusalam , Gasasira, Alex , Kasolo, Francis , Senga, Mikiko , Diallo, Boubacar , Riley, Steven , Cori, Anne , Myhre, Joel , Nouvellet, Pierre , Bilivogui, Pepe , Croisier, Alice , Donnelly, Christl A , Bawo, Luke , Massaquoi, Moses , Yoti, Zabulon , Barboza, Philippe , Keita, Sakoba , Polonsky, Jonathan , Eckmanns, Tim , Garske, Tini , Gbanyan, Stephen , Ronveaux, Olivier , Santhana Gopala Krishnan, Ravi , Vaz, Rui , Perea, William , Jambai, Amara , Chitala, Kennedy , Ferguson, Neil M , Mills, Harriet , Pendergast, Scott , Koné, Moussa , Nshimirimana, Deo , Nilles, Eric , Blake, Isobel , Aylward, Bruce , Kadiobo, Albert Mbule , Dangou, Jean-Marie , Musa, Emmanuel , Olu, Olushayo , Conteh, Roland M , Dye, Christopher , Lane, Chris , Chakauya, Jethro Magwati , Fuhrer, Caroline , Formenty, Pierre , Bertherat, Eric , Shuaib, Faisal , Nyenswah, Tolbert , Wijekoon Kannangarage, Niluka

in Adolescent / Adult / Africa, Western - epidemiology / Biological and medical sciences / Child / Disease control / Ebola virus / Ebolavirus / Epidemics / Epidemics - statistics & numerical data / Female / General aspects / Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - diagnosis / Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - epidemiology / Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - transmission / Humans / Incidence / Infectious Disease Incubation Period / Male / Medical sciences / Middle Aged / Mortality / Public health / Young Adult

2014

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Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections

2014

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2014

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Journal Article

Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections

Jombart, Thibaut,

Graaff, Peter,

Brennan, Rick,

Kertesz, Daniel,

Mulba, John Mike,

Van Kerkhove, Maria D,

Sakoba, Keita,

Nuttall, Isabelle,

Briand, Sylvie,

Markoff, Jered,

Fukuda, Keiji,

Heleze, Emmanuel,

Nasidi, Abdusalam,

Gasasira, Alex,

Kasolo, Francis,

Senga, Mikiko,

Diallo, Boubacar,

Riley, Steven,

Cori, Anne,

Myhre, Joel,

Nouvellet, Pierre,

Bilivogui, Pepe,

Croisier, Alice,

Donnelly, Christl A,

Bawo, Luke,

Massaquoi, Moses,

Yoti, Zabulon,

Barboza, Philippe,

Keita, Sakoba,

Polonsky, Jonathan,

Eckmanns, Tim,

Garske, Tini,

Gbanyan, Stephen,

Ronveaux, Olivier,

Santhana Gopala Krishnan, Ravi,

Vaz, Rui,

Perea, William,

Jambai, Amara,

Chitala, Kennedy,

Ferguson, Neil M,

Mills, Harriet,

Pendergast, Scott,

Koné, Moussa,

Nshimirimana, Deo,

Nilles, Eric,

Blake, Isobel,

Aylward, Bruce,

Kadiobo, Albert Mbule,

Dangou, Jean-Marie,

Musa, Emmanuel,

Olu, Olushayo,

Conteh, Roland M,

Dye, Christopher,

Lane, Chris,

Chakauya, Jethro Magwati,

Fuhrer, Caroline,

Formenty, Pierre,

Bertherat, Eric,

Shuaib, Faisal,

Nyenswah, Tolbert,

Wijekoon Kannangarage, Niluka

2014

Overview

In this report on the current epidemic, the WHO Ebola Response Team presents data on symptoms, case fatality rate, incubation period, basic reproduction number, and serial interval. Without a greatly increased global response, over 20,000 people may be infected by early November. As of September 14, 2014, a total of 4507 confirmed and probable cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD), as well as 2296 deaths from the virus, had been reported from five countries in West Africa — Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal, and Sierra Leone. In terms of reported morbidity and mortality, the current epidemic of EVD is far larger than all previous epidemics combined. The true numbers of cases and deaths are certainly higher. There are numerous reports of symptomatic persons evading diagnosis and treatment, of laboratory diagnoses that have not been included in national databases, and of persons with suspected . . .

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Publisher

Massachusetts Medical Society

Subject

Adolescent

/ Adult

/ Africa, Western - epidemiology

/ Biological and medical sciences

/ Child

/ Disease control

/ Ebola virus