Journal Article

Development of a global 5 arcmin groundwater model (H08-GMv1.0): model setup and steady-state simulation

Matsumura, Akiko, He, Qing, Hanasaki, Naota, Sutanudjaja, Edwin H, Oki, Taikan

2025

Overview

Groundwater plays a critical role in regulating the global hydrological cycle and serves as the most stable freshwater resource for human daily water consumption. However, many global water models, including H08, a global water model considering human water use activities, downplay the groundwater component, i.e., the underground aquifer is often described as a simple lumped model where no lateral groundwater movement or the water table is represented. Here, we present a global H08-MODFLOW groundwater model (H08-GM), built at a five-arcmin spatial resolution, aiming to enhance the capability of the original H08 model in simulating groundwater flows. We describe the basic model setups and simulations under steady-state conditions in this paper. The Local One-At-A-Time (OAT) Sensitivity Tests are first conducted to select the best-run model simulations against in-situ observations. At the global scale, all model runs demonstrate overall good performance of groundwater head, whereas perform poorly in simulating Water Table Depth (WTD, groundwater table below land surface), which is shown to be a common issue in other global groundwater models. Our analysis also reveals two complementary global relationships: one between groundwater depth and topographic slope, and another along gradients of human activity (irrigation and population), together demonstrating how natural and anthropogenic processes jointly control the spatial distribution of WTD. We further use the model to reveal the mechanisms controlling groundwater flow dynamics and present the global cell-to-cell net groundwater lateral flow map. We found that the magnitude of the net groundwater lateral flow in some regions is non-negligible to annual groundwater recharge. This highlights the important role of the lateral groundwater flow in maintaining the regional water budget. The steady-state simulation from this study provides the necessary initial condition for the transient simulations, which is essentially important to analyze the global groundwater decline trends and will be presented in another paper. Although developed in the one-way coupled manner, the H08-GM model can provide a powerful tool for large-scale groundwater studies, which enables direct comparison with other groundwater models joined the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP), and is essential to advance the development of the next-generation global water models.

• Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
• Subject: Anthropogenic factors / Aquifers / Flow mapping / Fluid dynamics / Freshwater / Freshwater resources / Groundwater / Groundwater flow / Groundwater levels / Groundwater models / Groundwater recharge / Groundwater studies / Groundwater table / Human influences / Hydrologic cycle / Hydrological cycle / Hydrology / Inland water environment / Intercomparison / Physical simulation / Runoff / Simulation / Spatial discrimination / Spatial distribution / Spatial resolution / Steady state / Surface water / Water budget / Water consumption / Water depth / Water resources / Water table / Water table depth / Water use