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Encoding Seasonal Climate Predictions for Demand Forecasting with Modular Neural Network
by
Otieno, Fred Ochieng
, Smit Marvaniya
, Singh, Jitendra
, Weldemariam, Kommy
, Galichet, Nicolas
, Geeth De Mel
in
Climate
/ Coding
/ Computer architecture
/ Demand
/ Error reduction
/ Learning
/ Mathematical models
/ Neural networks
/ Representations
/ Supply chains
/ Time series
/ Weather forecasting
2023
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Encoding Seasonal Climate Predictions for Demand Forecasting with Modular Neural Network
by
Otieno, Fred Ochieng
, Smit Marvaniya
, Singh, Jitendra
, Weldemariam, Kommy
, Galichet, Nicolas
, Geeth De Mel
in
Climate
/ Coding
/ Computer architecture
/ Demand
/ Error reduction
/ Learning
/ Mathematical models
/ Neural networks
/ Representations
/ Supply chains
/ Time series
/ Weather forecasting
2023
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While trying to remove the title from your shelf something went wrong :( Kindly try again later!
Do you wish to request the book?
Encoding Seasonal Climate Predictions for Demand Forecasting with Modular Neural Network
by
Otieno, Fred Ochieng
, Smit Marvaniya
, Singh, Jitendra
, Weldemariam, Kommy
, Galichet, Nicolas
, Geeth De Mel
in
Climate
/ Coding
/ Computer architecture
/ Demand
/ Error reduction
/ Learning
/ Mathematical models
/ Neural networks
/ Representations
/ Supply chains
/ Time series
/ Weather forecasting
2023
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Encoding Seasonal Climate Predictions for Demand Forecasting with Modular Neural Network
Paper
Encoding Seasonal Climate Predictions for Demand Forecasting with Modular Neural Network
2023
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Overview
Current time-series forecasting problems use short-term weather attributes as exogenous inputs. However, in specific time-series forecasting solutions (e.g., demand prediction in the supply chain), seasonal climate predictions are crucial to improve its resilience. Representing mid to long-term seasonal climate forecasts is challenging as seasonal climate predictions are uncertain, and encoding spatio-temporal relationship of climate forecasts with demand is complex. We propose a novel modeling framework that efficiently encodes seasonal climate predictions to provide robust and reliable time-series forecasting for supply chain functions. The encoding framework enables effective learning of latent representations -- be it uncertain seasonal climate prediction or other time-series data (e.g., buyer patterns) -- via a modular neural network architecture. Our extensive experiments indicate that learning such representations to model seasonal climate forecast results in an error reduction of approximately 13\\% to 17\\% across multiple real-world data sets compared to existing demand forecasting methods.
Publisher
Cornell University Library, arXiv.org
Subject
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