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Electioneering activities and their impact on the Ghana Stock Exchange
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Electioneering activities and their impact on the Ghana Stock Exchange
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Journal Article
Electioneering activities and their impact on the Ghana Stock Exchange
2020
Overview
Orientation: Literature is scanty on the euphoria around Ghana's electioneering activities and their impact on economic activities.Research purpose: This article studies electioneering activities and their impact on the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) returns.Motivation for the study: Literature have established that political risk is statistically significant in emerging stock markets and from 5 January to 7 December 2016, the GSE lost 23.47% of its trading values. Hence, this article finds it imperative to examine whether electioneering activities indeed have an impact on GSE.Research approach/design and method: Using daily data span from 5 January 2016 to 7 December, 2016. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test approach to cointegration and Granger causality test was used to examine the data.Main findings: The result suggests that electioneering activity impact negatively on the GSE returns both in the short-run and long-run, but its cause is not clear. It impacts creates arbitrage opportunities for investors and may punish the political party in power.Practical/managerial implications: Political parties in power should recognize that electioneering activities creates a dilemma between regaining power or managing the economy.Contribution/value-add: Ghana's electioneering activities disproves some investment theories, that is, investors assume risk may not reflect their expected return since the stock market efficiency is nullified by arbitrage opportunity.
