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Planning the Airport Terminal Facilities Based on Traffic Demand Forecast and Dominant Share of Airline Business Model: Case Study of Pula Airport
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Planning the Airport Terminal Facilities Based on Traffic Demand Forecast and Dominant Share of Airline Business Model: Case Study of Pula Airport
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Journal Article
Planning the Airport Terminal Facilities Based on Traffic Demand Forecast and Dominant Share of Airline Business Model: Case Study of Pula Airport
2025
Overview
Today’s airport passenger terminals are required to be planned and designed to ensure flexibility for future adjustments at minimal cost, but also to respond to changes in demand and/or needs of passengers, airlines, and aircraft. To achieve these goals for airports and their operators, planning must be flexible and balanced. Recent data show that the airline business model of low-cost carriers continues to grow, especially after the pandemic. The analysis of the passenger traffic demand and shares of airline business models against the capacity of the existing airport terminal facilities can indicate whether certain adjustments are needed to meet the future conditions. In this research, forecasting of traffic demand and shares of airline business models was made. The forecasting tools of Python and MS Excel were used. Based on traffic demand forecasts and the dominant airline business model, guidelines for future airport terminal planning were proposed for the case-study airport. An example of the adjustment of airport terminal facilities at Pula Airport passenger terminal is provided using AutoCAD, according to forecasted traffic demand and the dominant share of low-cost carriers.
