Journal Article

Spatio-temporal regression kriging model of mean daily temperature for Croatia

Tadić Melita Perčec, Kilibarda Milan, Protić Dragutin, Sekulić Aleksandar, Bajat Branislav

2020

Overview

High resolution gridded mean daily temperature datasets are valuable for research and applications in agronomy, meteorology, hydrology, ecology, and many other disciplines depending on weather or climate. The gridded datasets and the models used for their estimation are being constantly improved as there is always a need for more accurate datasets as well as for datasets with a higher spatial and temporal resolution. We developed a spatio-temporal regression kriging model for Croatia at 1 km spatial resolution by adapting the spatio-temporal regression kriging model developed for global land areas. A geometrical temperature trend, digital elevation model, and topographic wetness index were used as covariates together with measurements from the Croatian national meteorological network for the year 2008. This model performed better than the global model and previously developed models for Croatia, based on MODIS land surface temperature images. The R2 was 97.8% and RMSE was 1.2 °C for leave-one-out and 5-fold cross-validation. The proposed national model still has a high level of uncertainty at higher altitudes leaving it suitable for agricultural areas that are dominant in lower and medium altitudes.

• Publisher: Springer Nature B.V
• Subject: Agronomy / Climate models / Climate science / Datasets / Digital Elevation Models / Ecology / Hydrology / Kriging interpolation / Land surface temperature / Mean daily temperatures / Meteorology / Regression models / Resolution / Spatial discrimination / Spatial resolution / Statistical methods / Surface temperature / Temporal resolution / Weather / Wetness index