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Climate change threatens protected areas of the Atlantic Forest
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Climate change threatens protected areas of the Atlantic Forest
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Journal Article
Climate change threatens protected areas of the Atlantic Forest
2014
Overview
Only 7 % of the Atlantic Forest Biodiversity Hotspot is currently protected, though it holds 18 % of all amphibian species in South America. How effective would the Atlantic Forest network of protected areas (PAs) be in a changing climate? Are there some intrinsic features of PAs that drive species loss or gain inside them? We addressed these questions by modeling the ecological niches of 430 amphibian species in the Atlantic Forest and projecting their distributions into three future climate change simulations. We then assessed changes in species richness inside PAs for different time frames and tested their significance via null model. The number of species should decline within Atlantic Forest network of PAs under changing climate conditions. Only altitude was a good predictor of species gains or lost inside PAs. Therefore, we suggest that new PAs established in highlands would be more effective to alleviate the effects of climate change on this imperiled fauna.
Publisher
Springer-Verlag,Springer Netherlands,Springer,Springer Nature B.V
Subject
/ Animal, plant and microbial ecology
/ Biological and medical sciences
/ Biological diversity conservation
/ Biomedical and Life Sciences
/ climate
/ Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts
/ Climatology. Bioclimatology. Climate change
/ Conservation Biology/Ecology
/ Conservation, protection and management of environment and wildlife
/ Ecology
/ Exact sciences and technology
/ fauna
/ Forestry
/ Forests
/ Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology
/ Generalities. Production, biomass. Quality of wood and forest products. General forest ecology
/ niches
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