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Global warming is shifting the relationships between fire weather and realized fire-induced CO2 emissions in Europe

by Parrington, Mark , Lionello, Piero , Vitolo, Claudia , Carnicer Cols, Jofre , Di Giuseppe, Francesca , Koutsias, Nikos , Karali, Anna , Alegria, Andrés , Giannakopoulos, Christos

in 704/158/2465 / 704/4111 / Burning / Carbon / Carbon dioxide / Carbon dioxide emissions / Carbon sinks / Climate change / Emission measurements / Emissions / Environmental science / Fire prevention / Global warming / Humanities and Social Sciences / Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change / multidisciplinary / Science / Science (multidisciplinary) / Seasons / Trends / Weather / Wildfires

2022

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Global warming is shifting the relationships between fire weather and realized fire-induced CO2 emissions in Europe

by Parrington, Mark , Lionello, Piero , Vitolo, Claudia , Carnicer Cols, Jofre , Di Giuseppe, Francesca , Koutsias, Nikos , Karali, Anna , Alegria, Andrés , Giannakopoulos, Christos

2022

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Global warming is shifting the relationships between fire weather and realized fire-induced CO2 emissions in Europe

by Parrington, Mark , Lionello, Piero , Vitolo, Claudia , Carnicer Cols, Jofre , Di Giuseppe, Francesca , Koutsias, Nikos , Karali, Anna , Alegria, Andrés , Giannakopoulos, Christos

2022

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Journal Article

Global warming is shifting the relationships between fire weather and realized fire-induced CO2 emissions in Europe

Parrington, Mark,

Lionello, Piero,

Vitolo, Claudia,

Carnicer Cols, Jofre,

Di Giuseppe, Francesca,

Koutsias, Nikos,

Karali, Anna,

Alegria, Andrés,

Giannakopoulos, Christos

2022

Overview

Fire activity has significantly changed in Europe over the last decades (1980–2020s), with the emergence of summers attaining unprecedented fire prone weather conditions. Here we report a significant shift in the non-stationary relationship linking fire weather conditions and fire intensity measured in terms of CO2 emissions released during biomass burning across a latitudinal gradient of European IPCC regions. The reported trends indicate that global warming is possibly inducing an incipient change on regional fire dynamics towards increased fire impacts in Europe, suggesting that emerging risks posed by exceptional fire-weather danger conditions may progressively exceed current wildfire suppression capabilities in the next decades and impact forest carbon sinks.

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Publisher

Nature Publishing Group,Nature Publishing Group UK,Nature Portfolio

Subject

704/158/2465

/ 704/4111

/ Burning

/ Carbon

/ Carbon dioxide

/ Carbon dioxide emissions

/ Carbon sinks