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Deep learning predicts real-world electric vehicle direct current charging profiles and durations
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Deep learning predicts real-world electric vehicle direct current charging profiles and durations
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Deep learning predicts real-world electric vehicle direct current charging profiles and durations
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Journal Article
Deep learning predicts real-world electric vehicle direct current charging profiles and durations
2025
Overview
Accurate prediction of electric vehicle charging profiles and durations is critical for adoption and optimising infrastructure. Direct current fast charging presents complex behaviours shaped by many factors. This work introduces a deep learning framework trained on 909,135 real-world sessions, capable of predicting charging profiles and durations from minimal input with uncertainty estimates. The model initiates predictions from a single point on the power and state-of-charge profile and incrementally refines them as new observations arrive, enabling real-time updates. The model generalises across vehicle types and charging scenarios. It achieves 90% accuracy in predicting charging duration from a single point, and 95% accuracy with an absolute error under one minute using six points within five minutes. This work shows that using readily available input data at charge time enables accurate prediction of charging behaviour and offers a practical, scalable solution for deployment, energy planning, and infrastructure reliability.
Here, the authors present a deep learning framework trained on nearly one million direct current fast charging sessions that accurately predicts electric vehicle charging profiles and the remaining driving time. The model provides the predictions in real time from minimal input, improving user experience, energy planning, and infrastructure reliability.
