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The Junk Science of Pandemic School Closure
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Journal Article
The Junk Science of Pandemic School Closure
2025
Overview
[...]these same authorities ignored cautions about the devastating effects of closure on youth learning, mental health, and wellbeing. Within weeks, though, Harvard University economist Robert Barro crunched the data from 45 U.S. cities during that pandemic and reported that closures had had no long-term effect on mortality rates. On May 17, the European Union's education ministers shared the data from the first month of return-to-school in 22 nations and saw no evidence of increased spread despite minimal masking, three-foot (one meter) social distancing, and a lack of sophisticated HVAC systems. Which of the Covid forecasting models turned out to be most accurate? A study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences took a hard look at the results and found that the most accurate forecasting models were those from outside the public health establishment.
