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Synthetic and practical reconstructions of SST and seawater pH using the novel multiproxy SMITE method
by
Thompson, Diane
, Lees, Jonathan
, Foster, Gavin L.
, Hughes, Hunter P.
, Standish, Christopher D.
, Surge, Donna
in
Analysis
/ Animals
/ Anthozoa - chemistry
/ Arrays
/ Calcium
/ Calibration
/ Climate change
/ Climate variability
/ Coral reefs
/ Corals
/ Decomposition
/ Eigenvectors
/ Estimates
/ Geochemistry
/ Hydrogen-Ion Concentration
/ Magnesium
/ Methods
/ Multivariate analysis
/ Open source software
/ Public software
/ Reconstruction
/ Remote sensing
/ Reproducibility
/ Scientific imaging
/ Sea surface temperature
/ Sea-water
/ Seawater
/ Seawater - chemistry
/ Seawater pH
/ Statistics
/ Strontium
/ Temperature
/ Trace elements
/ Trace Elements - analysis
/ Tropical climates
/ Uncertainty analysis
/ Variability
/ Variables
2024
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Synthetic and practical reconstructions of SST and seawater pH using the novel multiproxy SMITE method
by
Thompson, Diane
, Lees, Jonathan
, Foster, Gavin L.
, Hughes, Hunter P.
, Standish, Christopher D.
, Surge, Donna
in
Analysis
/ Animals
/ Anthozoa - chemistry
/ Arrays
/ Calcium
/ Calibration
/ Climate change
/ Climate variability
/ Coral reefs
/ Corals
/ Decomposition
/ Eigenvectors
/ Estimates
/ Geochemistry
/ Hydrogen-Ion Concentration
/ Magnesium
/ Methods
/ Multivariate analysis
/ Open source software
/ Public software
/ Reconstruction
/ Remote sensing
/ Reproducibility
/ Scientific imaging
/ Sea surface temperature
/ Sea-water
/ Seawater
/ Seawater - chemistry
/ Seawater pH
/ Statistics
/ Strontium
/ Temperature
/ Trace elements
/ Trace Elements - analysis
/ Tropical climates
/ Uncertainty analysis
/ Variability
/ Variables
2024
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Synthetic and practical reconstructions of SST and seawater pH using the novel multiproxy SMITE method
by
Thompson, Diane
, Lees, Jonathan
, Foster, Gavin L.
, Hughes, Hunter P.
, Standish, Christopher D.
, Surge, Donna
in
Analysis
/ Animals
/ Anthozoa - chemistry
/ Arrays
/ Calcium
/ Calibration
/ Climate change
/ Climate variability
/ Coral reefs
/ Corals
/ Decomposition
/ Eigenvectors
/ Estimates
/ Geochemistry
/ Hydrogen-Ion Concentration
/ Magnesium
/ Methods
/ Multivariate analysis
/ Open source software
/ Public software
/ Reconstruction
/ Remote sensing
/ Reproducibility
/ Scientific imaging
/ Sea surface temperature
/ Sea-water
/ Seawater
/ Seawater - chemistry
/ Seawater pH
/ Statistics
/ Strontium
/ Temperature
/ Trace elements
/ Trace Elements - analysis
/ Tropical climates
/ Uncertainty analysis
/ Variability
/ Variables
2024
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Synthetic and practical reconstructions of SST and seawater pH using the novel multiproxy SMITE method
Journal Article
Synthetic and practical reconstructions of SST and seawater pH using the novel multiproxy SMITE method
2024
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Overview
Geochemical proxies of sea surface temperature (SST) and seawater pH (pH sw ) in scleractinian coral skeletons are valuable tools for reconstructing tropical climate variability. However, most coral skeletal SST and pH sw proxies are univariate methods that are limited in their capacity to circumvent non-climate-related variability. Here we present a novel multivariate method for reconstructing SST and pH sw from the geochemistry of coral skeletons. Our Scleractinian Multivariate Isotope and Trace Element (SMITE) method optimizes reconstruction skill by leveraging the covariance across an array of coral elemental and isotopic data with SST and pH sw . First, using a synthetic proxy experiment, we find that SMITE SST reconstruction statistics (correlation, accuracy, and precision) are insensitive to noise and variable calibration period lengths relative to Sr/Ca. While SMITE pH sw reconstruction statistics remain relative to δ 11 B throughout the same synthetic experiment, the magnitude of the long-term trend in pH sw is progressively lost under conditions of moderate-to-high analytical uncertainty. Next, we apply the SMITE method to an array of seven coral-based geochemical variables (B/Ca, δ 11 B, Li/Ca, Mg/Ca, Sr/Ca, U/Ca & Li/Mg) measured from two Bermudan Porites astreoides corals. Despite a <3.5 year calibration period, SMITE SST and pH sw estimates exhibit significantly better accuracy, precision, and correlation with their respective climate targets than the best single- and dual-proxy estimators. Furthermore, SMITE model parameters are highly reproducible between the two coral cores, indicating great potential for fossil applications (when preservation is high). The results shown here indicate that the SMITE method can outperform the most common coral-based SST and pH sw reconstructions methods to date, particularly in datasets with a large variety of geochemical variables. We therefore provide a list of recommendations and procedures for users to begin implementing the SMITE method as well as an open-source software package to facilitate dissemination of the SMITE method.
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