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Israel, the Palestinian Factions, and the Cycle of Violence
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Israel, the Palestinian Factions, and the Cycle of Violence
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Journal Article
Israel, the Palestinian Factions, and the Cycle of Violence
2006
Overview
Since September 2000, Israel and the Palestinians have been engaged in a deadly conflict, commonly known as the Second Intifada, which has claimed more than 1,000 Israeli and 3,300 Palestinian lives. In previous work, it has been shown that the conventional wisdom that the two sides are locked in an endless cycle of violence, where actions by one side are always followed by retaliations from the other, does not appropriately capture the dynamics of the conflict. Rather, Israel responds in a predictable and systematic way to Palestinian violence, while the Palestinians' actions do not seem to be related to past levels of Israeli violence either through revenge, deterrence, or incapacitation. In that analysis, the Palestinians were treated as a unified entity. To better understand the dynamics of the conflict, the authors may need to consider that the various violent Palestinian factions have different organizational structures and long-term objectives and that Israel may have an incentive to react differently to violence committed by them.
