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Strength and durability of indirect protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection through vaccine and infection-acquired immunity
by
Leidner, David
, Lewnard, Joseph A.
, Sears, David
, Hutchinson, Justine
, Kwan, Ada T.
, Park, Hailey J.
, Rodríguez-Barraquer, Isabel
, Lo, Nathan C.
, Blumberg, Seth
, Tan, Sophia T.
in
631/326/590/2293
/ 631/326/596/4130
/ 692/308/174
/ Adaptive immunity
/ Adaptive Immunity - immunology
/ Adult
/ Antibodies, Viral - immunology
/ California - epidemiology
/ COVID-19
/ COVID-19 - epidemiology
/ COVID-19 - immunology
/ COVID-19 - prevention & control
/ COVID-19 - virology
/ COVID-19 vaccines
/ COVID-19 Vaccines - administration & dosage
/ COVID-19 Vaccines - immunology
/ Data acquisition
/ Disease transmission
/ Durability
/ Epidemiology
/ Female
/ Health promotion
/ Health risks
/ Humanities and Social Sciences
/ Humans
/ Immunity
/ Infections
/ Male
/ Middle Aged
/ multidisciplinary
/ Prisons
/ Public health
/ Risk management
/ SARS-CoV-2 - immunology
/ Science
/ Science (multidisciplinary)
/ Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
/ Surveillance
/ Vaccination
/ Vaccines
/ Young Adult
2025
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Strength and durability of indirect protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection through vaccine and infection-acquired immunity
by
Leidner, David
, Lewnard, Joseph A.
, Sears, David
, Hutchinson, Justine
, Kwan, Ada T.
, Park, Hailey J.
, Rodríguez-Barraquer, Isabel
, Lo, Nathan C.
, Blumberg, Seth
, Tan, Sophia T.
in
631/326/590/2293
/ 631/326/596/4130
/ 692/308/174
/ Adaptive immunity
/ Adaptive Immunity - immunology
/ Adult
/ Antibodies, Viral - immunology
/ California - epidemiology
/ COVID-19
/ COVID-19 - epidemiology
/ COVID-19 - immunology
/ COVID-19 - prevention & control
/ COVID-19 - virology
/ COVID-19 vaccines
/ COVID-19 Vaccines - administration & dosage
/ COVID-19 Vaccines - immunology
/ Data acquisition
/ Disease transmission
/ Durability
/ Epidemiology
/ Female
/ Health promotion
/ Health risks
/ Humanities and Social Sciences
/ Humans
/ Immunity
/ Infections
/ Male
/ Middle Aged
/ multidisciplinary
/ Prisons
/ Public health
/ Risk management
/ SARS-CoV-2 - immunology
/ Science
/ Science (multidisciplinary)
/ Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
/ Surveillance
/ Vaccination
/ Vaccines
/ Young Adult
2025
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Strength and durability of indirect protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection through vaccine and infection-acquired immunity
by
Leidner, David
, Lewnard, Joseph A.
, Sears, David
, Hutchinson, Justine
, Kwan, Ada T.
, Park, Hailey J.
, Rodríguez-Barraquer, Isabel
, Lo, Nathan C.
, Blumberg, Seth
, Tan, Sophia T.
in
631/326/590/2293
/ 631/326/596/4130
/ 692/308/174
/ Adaptive immunity
/ Adaptive Immunity - immunology
/ Adult
/ Antibodies, Viral - immunology
/ California - epidemiology
/ COVID-19
/ COVID-19 - epidemiology
/ COVID-19 - immunology
/ COVID-19 - prevention & control
/ COVID-19 - virology
/ COVID-19 vaccines
/ COVID-19 Vaccines - administration & dosage
/ COVID-19 Vaccines - immunology
/ Data acquisition
/ Disease transmission
/ Durability
/ Epidemiology
/ Female
/ Health promotion
/ Health risks
/ Humanities and Social Sciences
/ Humans
/ Immunity
/ Infections
/ Male
/ Middle Aged
/ multidisciplinary
/ Prisons
/ Public health
/ Risk management
/ SARS-CoV-2 - immunology
/ Science
/ Science (multidisciplinary)
/ Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
/ Surveillance
/ Vaccination
/ Vaccines
/ Young Adult
2025
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Strength and durability of indirect protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection through vaccine and infection-acquired immunity
Journal Article
Strength and durability of indirect protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection through vaccine and infection-acquired immunity
2025
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Overview
Early investigation revealed a reduced risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection among social contacts of COVID-19 vaccinated individuals, referred to as indirect protection. However, indirect protection from SARS-CoV-2 infection-acquired immunity and its comparative strength and durability to vaccine-derived indirect protection in the current epidemiologic context of high levels of vaccination, prior infection, and novel variants are not well characterized. Here, we show that both vaccine-derived and infection-acquired immunity independently yield indirect protection to close social contacts with key differences in their strength and waning. Analyzing anonymized SARS-CoV-2 surveillance data from 9,625 residents in California state prisons from December 2021 to December 2022, we find that vaccine-derived indirect protection against Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection is strongest within three months of COVID-19 vaccination [30% (95% confidence interval: 20–38%)] with subsequent modest protection. Infection-acquired immunity provides 38% (24–50%) indirect protection for 6 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection, with moderate indirect protection persisting for over one year. Variant-targeted vaccines (bivalent formulation including Omicron subvariants BA.4/BA.5) confer strong indirect protection for at least three months [40% (3–63%)]. These results demonstrate that both vaccine-derived and infection-acquired immunity can reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission which is important for understanding long-term transmission dynamics and can guide public health intervention, especially in high-risk environments such as prisons.
Vaccines and infection-acquired immunity reduce infection risk to close contacts through ‘indirect protection’. Here, the authors characterise the strength and durability of vaccine- and infection-acquired indirect protection against SARS-CoV-2 using surveillance data from residents of state prisons in California.
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK,Nature Publishing Group,Nature Portfolio
Subject
/ Adaptive Immunity - immunology
/ Adult
/ Antibodies, Viral - immunology
/ COVID-19
/ COVID-19 - prevention & control
/ COVID-19 Vaccines - administration & dosage
/ COVID-19 Vaccines - immunology
/ Female
/ Humanities and Social Sciences
/ Humans
/ Immunity
/ Male
/ Prisons
/ Science
/ Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
/ Vaccines
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